Re: WDW neglected?

Originally Posted by
Mo Noyz
Of course you won't see a 29% increase in a park that is already pushing capacity most months out of the year. Yet, I'm sure that won't stop you from using that example later on when it doesn't meet the impossible HG goal of 29% increased attendance.
I've seen you state pushing capacity most months multiple times and I don't find that to be close to accurate. While we can mess with the statistics and find a day or two each month that hit in the 90% level, or particular holiday weeks, if we look at the majority of days in each month the MK does not even come close to hitting capacity. Putting the major holiday school break weeks aside, I grant that is busy but not pushing capacity, this week however, a high season Tuesday was 80%, Wed. was 70% and today is running 65%. Even over the December 2011 Christmas weeks only had one day that pushed capacity and it wasn't even Christmas or NYE and that was one odd day, that pushed capacity at the MK, DHS and Epcot. There are 16 to 18 weeks out of 52 weeks that attendance that see high capacity crowds of 70-90% and scattered holiday draws like the 4th of July.
June though Mid July are the busiest summer vacation weeks.
Saturdays at the MK are always by far the busiest days at the MK even during the slow seasons.
March is nutty but didn't near capacity this year. The parks are very busy around 90% some of the March weeks/days.
January runs on average between 20-40% MLK weekend up
February aside from President weekend 30-40 %
March depending on the week runs 70-90%
April, because of Easter being late this year was busy early and ran 80-90% the first week and then fell to the average of 50% for the balance.
May averages around 60%
June by the second week is running 80-90% depending on the day through Mid July
After After the 18th of July it tapers down 60-70% with select days higher.
Early August runs about the same then by the second half of August crowds are between 20-40%
September, the entire month minus Labor Day is excellent, like January, depending on the day of the week you are at 10, 20, 30%.
October is odder, weekdays run 10%-40 and long weekends are around 60% Saturdays 70%, Epcot actually fairs much higher than the norm in October, especially the weekends.
November runs between 40%-60% except the extremely crowded Thanksgiving days.
December first half runs around 20-30% and climbs to the nutty 80-90% for holidays.
60-70% of capacity is already pretty darn crowded, with good lines for popular attractions. Even with over an hour wait for Space and Splash it still isn't anywhere close to park capacity. I've been in the MK once and Epcot once when they hit capacity. It is just crazy and impossible to navigate or do anything or try to eat. Even this year when they did the 24 hour leap year MK only pulled in a fraction of what Disneyland did and the MK didn't consider capacity like Disneyland did.
But to drive home the same point I was attempting to make before, I'll revise it to make it a fair comparison in the time to come. My prediction is the same theory, but on a percentile instead of a percentage, my prediction is that FLE and Cars on a percentile will not increase attendance any where near what Harry Potter has done for IoA. Without even seeing plans for Avatar I can't even in my wildest imagination believe that it will have the same demographic draw, across generations of guests that Harry Potter does. I give kudos to IoA imagineers for a phenomenal success. It doesn't surprise me since many of these imagineers were the cast off, seasoned Disney Imagineers, discarded.
Some people are like Slinkies.
They aren't really good for anything,
but they still bring a smile to my face when I push them down a flight of stairs.
Friends are Gods way of apologizing to us for our families.